Montgomery, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

491
FXUS64 KHUN 061043 CCA
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
543 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

...New AVIATION...

.NEAR TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 322 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

A frontal boundary continues to be stalled off the southeast
Atlantic coast and extends west southwest through the eastern Big
Bend area of Florida into the central Gulf of Mexico. Tropical
Storm Milton continues to remain in the far southwestern portion
of the Gulf of Mexico with sustained winds of 45 mph and a minimum
central pressure of 1005 mb. It is moving slowly to the NNE at 4
mph and is expected to strengthen quickly.

This stalled frontal boundary will likely help to keep much of the
system offshore until it approaches the western Florida peninsula
later this week. It is too early to say exactly where along the
peninsula it will definitely hit.

A second stronger cold front extends southwest from a parent low
in the south central area of Canada into the western Great Lakes
region and through the state of Kansas. This front will quickly
move southeast and likely steer Milton more to the east with
time.

But today, high pressure will dominate the forecast much of the
day over the Tennessee Valley. One more fairly warm day is expected.
925 mb temperatures are forecast to climb to between 20 and 23
degrees in most locations and not much cloud cover is expected.
Thus, highs in the upper 80s to around 90 degrees are expected
this afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday)
Issued at 322 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

Mostly clear skies will likely continue this evening before more
widespread cloud cover moves southeast into the area after
midnight (along/ahead of that stronger cold front mentioned
earlier). However, little deep moisture is associated with this
front in most guidance, so no precipitation is expected at this
time.

This cold front is forecast to move southeast and into central or
southern Alabama during the early afternoon hours on Monday. This
will keep some partly to mostly cloudy conditions in place just
after daybreak. Fairly strong cold air advection can be seen in
models forecasts in association with this front. This cold air
advection should keep highs in the mid 70s (north of the TN river)
to lower 80s (south of TN river).

Low temperatures that will make it feel like fall are expected
Monday night, as drier and cooler air continues to work into
northern Alabama and southern middle Tennessee. Lows in the upper
40s to lower 50s are expected. Fog will be much harder to form
with the drier air in place and winds between and 5 and 10 mph
with gusts to between 10 to 20 mph.

Our coolest day might be Tuesday, when models are showing highs
only climbing into the lower to mid 70s (north of the TN river) to
mid to upper 70s (south of the TN river). Lows look similar as the
previous night. The cold front should keep any precipitation
associated with Milton well southeast of northern Alabama.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Saturday)
Issued at 322 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

Not much change in low temperatures are expected Wednesday night.
As we head into the end of the week/weekend, some return flow
around the backside of an area of high pressure will bring some
warm air advection and higher dewpoints back into the area.
However, we remain dry through Saturday with highs rebounding back
into the 75 to 80 degree range in most locations.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 535 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

Expect MVFR VSBYS due to fog at KHSV between 12Z and 13Z. At KMSL,
MVFR VSBYS due to fog with some brief IFR conditions are possible
through 13Z. Then VFR conditions should return with light and
variable winds around 4 knots at both terminals.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...KTW
SHORT TERM....KTW
LONG TERM....KTW
AVIATION...KTW